Cal Poly @ Montana State, Week 9 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 9 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Montana State a 85% chance.

SeriesMontana State leads 7–4 · Montana State won the last meeting, 34–17 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
MTST 85% CP 15%
PROJECTED FINAL
MTST win
85%
One-score game
23%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge MTST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cal Poly @ Montana State

Your sims:Sims: MTST 0, CP 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Cal Poly vs Montana State Stats ComparisonCal Poly vs MTST Stats Comparison

2026 stats
Cal PolyCPMontana StateMTST
31PPG52.5
25.5PA/G12
450YDS/G472.5
51.9%3RD DOWN65.0%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Bobcat Stadium
LocationBozeman, MT
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation4,946 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 9 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#14
VS#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 78% to win
#3VS
CFB VIBES MODELND 92% to win
@#4
@#5
56Games in Week 9Full schedule →