California @ Virginia, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCaliforniaCAL0–0·ACC
VirginiaUVA1–0·ACC
CAL radioCal Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives California a 29% chance.
SeriesVirginia leads 1–0 · Virginia won the last meeting, 31–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UVA
Home-field edge UVA
Model projection UVA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
California @ Virginia
Your sims:Sims: CAL 0, UVA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Virginia
Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)
Wvs NC State34–8Virginia2026: 1–0 (1–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
California vs Virginia Stats ComparisonCalifornia vs Virginia Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CaliforniaCAL | VirginiaUVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.3#86 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 27.2#82 | PA/G | 19.6#22 |
| 357.8#89 | YDS/G | 419.1#29 |
| 275.3#19 | PASS/G | 239.1#55 |
| 82.5#133 | RUSH/G | 179.9#37 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 40.4%#61 | 3RD DOWN | 49.8%#11 |
| 0.13#93 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 0.16#74 | DEF PPA | 0.06#23 |
| 40.7%#89 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.4%#80 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.9%#18 |
| 58.3% | RET PROD | 9.5% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#46 |
| 3.0 | SP+ | 8.1 |
| 0.9#62 | FPI | 7.9#32 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Scott StadiumLocationCharlottesville, VA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1931
Elevation559 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
