Central Arkansas @ Florida State, Week 4 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDCARK radioBear Sports Network
FSU radioSeminole Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge FSU
Model projection FSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Arkansas @ Florida State
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, CARK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Arkansas vs Florida State Stats ComparisonCARK vs FSU Stats Comparison
| Central ArkansasCARK | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | PPG | 29 |
| 33 | PA/G | 22 |
| 409 | YDS/G | 374 |
| 220 | PASS/G | 162.5 |
| 189 | RUSH/G | 211.5 |
| 6.3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 52.0% | 3RD DOWN | 35.7% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 0.23 | DEF PPA | 0.27 |
| 46.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.0% |
| 38.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8% |
| 1.34 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| – | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| – | ELO | 1557 |
| – | SP+ | 6.9 |
| – | FPI | 7.3#37 |
THE VENUE
Doak Campbell StadiumLocationTallahassee, FL
Capacity67,277
SurfaceGrass
Opened1950
Elevation64 ft
FAN NEWS
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