GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Iowa a 60% chance.
SeriesNorthern Iowa leads 17–1 since 2003 · Northern Iowa won the last meeting, 41–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) INST
Home-field edge UNI
Model projection UNI
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa
Your sims:Sims: UNI 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Indiana State
Lat Illinois State17–10Lvs Youngstown State57–24Lat South Dakota44–14
Northern Iowa
Lat Southern Illinois20–17Lat Youngstown State35–22Wvs North Dakota24–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Indiana State vs Northern Iowa Stats ComparisonINST vs UNI Stats Comparison
| Indiana StateINST | Northern IowaUNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5 | PPG | 24.4 |
| 34.8 | PA/G | 28 |
| 380.9 | YDS/G | 319.1 |
| 265.8 | PASS/G | 212.4 |
| 115.1 | RUSH/G | 106.7 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5 |
| 37.7% | 3RD DOWN | 37.4% |
| 0.06 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.22 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| 35.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.4% |
| 44.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 48.0% |
| 1.49 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24 |
| −7 | TO MARGIN | +6 |
| -25.0 | SRS | -25.1 |
THE VENUE
UNI-DomeLocationCedar Falls, IA
Capacity16,324
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation925 ft
FAN NEWS
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