Massachusetts @ Toledo, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDMASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Massachusetts a 5% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 8–1 · Toledo won the last meeting, 38–23 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge TOL
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ Toledo
Your sims:Sims: MASS 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Toledo Stats ComparisonMASS vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MassachusettsMASS | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1#136 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 38.6#136 | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| 247.5#136 | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| 165.1#120 | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| 82.4#134 | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| 3.9#136 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 30.7%#132 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| 33.6%#134 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| 48.0%#131 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| 1.18#108 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -0.03#136 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 0.26#128 | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| -32.9 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -18.8#137 | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Glass BowlLocationToledo, OH
Capacity26,038
SurfaceTurf
Opened1937
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
