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All scores North Texas @ Indiana, Week 1 · 2026
@#6
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Indiana opens a 39.5-point favorite. Our model gives Indiana a 99% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Indiana won the last meeting, 49–24 · 2014
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
IU win
99% One-score game
4% Cover IU −39.5
41%
99% One-score game
4% Cover IU −39.5
41%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) IU
Home-field edge IU
Market lean IU
Model projection IU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
North Texas @ Indiana
Your sims:Sims: IU 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Indiana99%
North Texas2%
CFB Vibes ModelIU 99%MarketIU 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $124,017 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUNT +40.5IU −40.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
North Texas vs Indiana Stats ComparisonNorth Texas vs Indiana Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North TexasUNT | IndianaIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1#1 | PPG | 41.6#3 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 11.7#2 |
| 511.4#1 | YDS/G | 456.3#13 |
| 317.3#2 | PASS/G | 239.1#55 |
| 194.1#25 | RUSH/G | 217.2#12 |
| 7.2#3 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 45.9%#24 | 3RD DOWN | 56.3%#1 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | +22#1 |
| 0.35#2 | OFF PPA | 0.34#5 |
| 0.16#74 | DEF PPA | 0.01#7 |
| 51.6%#2 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.3%#3 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.4%#6 |
| 2.5% | RET PROD | 16.6% |
| 1.31#33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#74 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | 25.8 |
| -6.4#90 | FPI | 23.1#6 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationBloomington, IN
Capacity52,656
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation760 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Texas or Indiana?
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
