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UTEP @ Oklahoma, Week 1 · 2026

@#10

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Oklahoma opens a 41.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma a 99% chance.

SeriesOklahoma leads 5–0 · Oklahoma won the last meeting, 45–13 · 2022

WIN PROBABILITY
OU 99% UTEP 1%
PROJECTED FINAL
OU win
99%
One-score game
4%
Cover OU −41.5
38%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) OU
Home-field edge OU
Market lean OU
Model projection OU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
UTEP @ Oklahoma

Your sims:Sims: OU 0, UTEP 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Oklahoma99%
  2. UTEP1%
CFB Vibes ModelOU 99%MarketOU 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $99,855 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

SPREADUTEP +41.5OU −41.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

UTEP vs Oklahoma Stats ComparisonUTEP vs Oklahoma Stats Comparison

2025 stats
UTEPUTEPOklahomaOU
23.3#99PPG26.2#79
30.4#110PA/G15.5#7
331.8#113YDS/G354.5#93
30.3%#1333RD DOWN38.6%#83

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Memorial Stadium
LocationNorman, OK
Capacity86,112
SurfaceGrass
Opened1925
Elevation1,165 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 94% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win