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All scores Boise State @ Oregon, Week 1 · 2026
@#2
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oregon opens a 24.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 94% chance.
SeriesBoise State leads 3–1 · Oregon won the last meeting, 37–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ORE
Home-field edge ORE
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Boise State @ Oregon
Your sims:Sims: ORE 0, BOIS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADBOIS +24.5ORE −24.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINEBOIS +1200ORE −2400
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Boise State vs Oregon Stats ComparisonBoise State vs Oregon Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Boise StateBOIS | OregonORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9#46 | PPG | 36.9#10 |
| 24.1#61 | PA/G | 17.9#12 |
| 424.3#24 | YDS/G | 452.2#17 |
| 244.9#51 | PASS/G | 253.6#39 |
| 179.4#38 | RUSH/G | 198.6#20 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 45.8%#26 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.17#60 | OFF PPA | 0.30#12 |
| 0.10#42 | DEF PPA | 0.04#13 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.4%#16 |
| 35.3%#8 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.4%#15 |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | 75.3% |
| 1.30#36 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#20 |
| 5.1 | SP+ | 29.2 |
| 4.0#50 | FPI | 25.3#4 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Autzen StadiumLocationEugene, OR
Capacity54,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation418 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
