Louisville vs Ole Miss, Week 1 · 2026
VS#9
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ole Miss opens a 7-point favorite in Nashville. Our model gives Ole Miss a 72% chance.
SeriesOle Miss leads 1–0 · Ole Miss won the last meeting, 43–24 · 2021
72% One-score game
35% Cover MISS −7
56%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: MISS 0, LOU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Ole Miss73%
Louisville28%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $99,408 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Louisville vs Ole Miss Stats ComparisonLouisville vs Ole Miss Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LouisvilleLOU | Ole MissMISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9#46 | PPG | 36.9#10 |
| 21.2#38 | PA/G | 21.1#37 |
| 384.6#72 | YDS/G | 490.1#2 |
| 220.6#76 | PASS/G | 313.3#3 |
| 164#61 | RUSH/G | 176.7#45 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 35.3%#105 | 3RD DOWN | 43.1%#36 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| 0.15#80 | OFF PPA | 0.31#11 |
| 0.06#20 | DEF PPA | 0.11#49 |
| 45.1%#37 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.5%#12 |
| 36.4%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 34.8% | RET PROD | 50.3% |
| 1.20#97 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#45 |
| 11.1 | SP+ | 16.5 |
| 9.5#27 | FPI | 16.0#14 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nissan StadiumFAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Louisville or Ole Miss?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
