Ohio State @ USC, Week 9 · 2026
#1
@#14
@#14GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDOhio StateOSU0–0·B1G
USC radioTrojan Media Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
USC opens a 7.5-point underdog. Our model gives USC a 32% chance.
SeriesUSC leads 13–10–1 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 24–7 · 2017
What's driving the model
Home-field edge USC
Market lean OSU
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Ohio State @ USC
Your sims:Sims: USC 0, OSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3USC
USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)
Wvs San José State42–26USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUSC +7.5OSU −7.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEUSC +260OSU −325
DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice
USC vs Ohio State Stats ComparisonUSC vs Ohio State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| USCUSC | Ohio StateOSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8#13 | PPG | 33.4#21 |
| 23#51 | PA/G | 9.3#1 |
| 465.2#8 | YDS/G | 423#26 |
| 296#5 | PASS/G | 268.2#23 |
| 169.2#56 | RUSH/G | 154.8#74 |
| 7.2#3 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 51.3%#5 | 3RD DOWN | 52.6%#3 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.34#4 | OFF PPA | 0.33#7 |
| 49.0%#8 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.2%#1 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8%#12 |
| 59.2% | RET PROD | 68.3% |
| 1.34#21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#124 |
| 17.7 | SP+ | 32.7 |
| 17.0#13 | FPI | 28.7#1 |
| 0.15#64 | DEF PPA | -0.01#5 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial ColiseumLocationLos Angeles, CA
Capacity77,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation139 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
