South Dakota State at Illinois State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction · 2025 ratings

MVFC · Week 3

SIU @ ILLSat, Sep 19 · 1:00 PM CDT UNI @ IOWASat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CDTFS1 MUR @ OKSTSat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CDT UND @ NEBSat, Sep 19 · 6:15 PM CDTBTN SDAK @ BOISSat, Sep 19 · 8:00 PM MDTCBSSN

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 5 · Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00 PM CDT6:00 PM CDT

South Dakota StateSDST–

Illinois StateILST–

StreamingESPN+

ILST radioXfinity Mobile Redbird Sports Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Illinois State a 60% chance.

SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 7–6 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 35–21 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

ILST 60% SDST 40%

PROJECTED FINAL

Illinois State

South Dakota State

ILST win
60% One-score game
37%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) ILST

Home-field edge ILST

Model projection ILST

Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

South Dakota St @ Illinois St

Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, SDST 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

South Dakota State

2026: 0–1

Lat Northwestern34–18

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Illinois State vs South Dakota State Stats ComparisonILST vs SDST Stats Comparison

2026 stats

Illinois StateILST		South Dakota StateSDST
58.5	PPG	44
5	PA/G	20.5
248	YDS/G	530
128.5	PASS/G	260
119.5	RUSH/G	270
6	YDS/PLAY	7.4
68.8%	3RD DOWN	46.4%
0.34	OFF PPA	0.38
0.04	DEF PPA	0.11
47.0%	OFF SUCCESS	49.3%
35.4%	DEF SUCCESS	42.4%
1.37	EXPLOSIVE	1.31
+0	TO MARGIN	+1

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Hancock Stadium

LocationNormal, IL

Capacity15,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1963

Elevation797 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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