Texas @ LSU, Week 11 · 2026

#5@#11

GAME DAY

Week 11 · TBD
LSULSU0–0·SEC

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Texas opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas a 56% chance.

SeriesTexas leads 8–7–1 · LSU won the last meeting, 45–38 · 2019

WIN PROBABILITY
TEX 56% LSU 44%
PROJECTED FINAL
TEX win
56%
One-score game
40%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge LSU
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Texas @ LSU

Your sims:Sims: TEX 0, LSU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
SPREADTEX −2.5LSU +2.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINETEX −142LSU +120

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Texas vs LSU Stats ComparisonTexas vs LSU Stats Comparison

2025 stats
TexasTEXLSULSU
30.5#41PPG22.8#103
20.3#28PA/G19.8#23
388.7#69YDS/G334.2#111
39.2%#753RD DOWN36.8%#96

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Tiger Stadium (LA)
LocationBaton Rouge, LA
Capacity102,321
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation25 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#16@#2
#25@#3
#14@#6
#20@#8
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELTA&M 70% to win
#9@#10
@#1
@#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 98% to win
@#7