UAB @ South Florida, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDUSF radioBulls Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Florida a 89% chance.
SeriesSouth Florida leads 3–2 · South Florida won the last meeting, 48–18 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USF
Home-field edge USF
Model projection USF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UAB @ South Florida
Your sims:Sims: USF 0, UAB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Florida vs UAB Stats ComparisonUSF vs UAB Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South FloridaUSF | UABUAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5#5 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 23.4#53 | PA/G | 38.2#135 |
| 487.8#3 | YDS/G | 404.3#49 |
| 275.6#18 | PASS/G | 265.6#27 |
| 212.2#13 | RUSH/G | 138.8#87 |
| 7#5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 46.4%#20 | 3RD DOWN | 46.4%#20 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.18#58 |
| 0.08#30 | DEF PPA | 0.32#135 |
| 46.7%#22 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.2%#57 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.8%#132 |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 79.6% |
| 1.30#38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#39 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| -1.7 | SP+ | -17.5 |
| -0.9#73 | FPI | -15.5#128 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Raymond James StadiumLocationTampa, FL
Capacity65,828
SurfaceGrass
Opened1998
Elevation36 ft
FAN NEWS
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