Bowling Green @ Western Michigan, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 78% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 29–19–2 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 31–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge WMU
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Your sims:Sims: WMU 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Michigan vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonWMU vs BGSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western MichiganWMU | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9#88 | PPG | 20.5#117 |
| 17.4#9 | PA/G | 24.2#63 |
| 343#103 | YDS/G | 306.8#125 |
| 138.5#130 | PASS/G | 151.2#126 |
| 204.5#16 | RUSH/G | 155.5#71 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#98 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.10#106 | OFF PPA | 0.03#129 |
| 0.05#17 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 42.3%#69 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9%#127 |
| 37.5%#23 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 1.05#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#68 |
| 99.7% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -15.0 |
| -4.0#82 | FPI | -13.7#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Waldo StadiumLocationKalamazoo, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1939
Elevation800 ft
FAN NEWS
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