BYU @ UCF, Week 8 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 8 · TBDBYU radioNu Skin BYU Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 71% chance.
SeriesBYU leads 4–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 41–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge UCF
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
BYU @ UCF
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, UCF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
BYU vs UCF Stats ComparisonBYU vs UCF Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BYUBYU | UCFUCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4#32 | PPG | 24.3#90 |
| 19.1#19 | PA/G | 23.6#56 |
| 400.3#55 | YDS/G | 378.9#76 |
| 221.1#74 | PASS/G | 220.8#75 |
| 179.1#39 | RUSH/G | 158.2#67 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 33.9%#117 |
| 0.22#33 | OFF PPA | 0.15#83 |
| 0.06#22 | DEF PPA | 0.11#52 |
| 46.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.9%#100 |
| 38.5%#33 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#80 |
| 78.5% | RET PROD | 24.8% |
| 1.18#106 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#11 |
| 14.9 | SP+ | 1.7 |
| 13.1#20 | FPI | 2.1#57 |
| +8#18 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FBC Mortgage StadiumLocationOrlando, FL
Capacity44,206
SurfaceGrass
Opened2007
Elevation69 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
