BYU @ UCF, Week 8 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 8 · TBDUCF radioKnights Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCF a 29% chance.
SeriesBYU leads 4–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 41–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge UCF
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
BYU @ UCF
Your sims:Sims: UCF 0, BYU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UCF vs BYU Stats ComparisonUCF vs BYU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UCFUCF | BYUBYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3#90 | PPG | 31.4#32 |
| 23.6#56 | PA/G | 19.1#19 |
| 378.9#76 | YDS/G | 400.3#55 |
| 220.8#75 | PASS/G | 221.1#74 |
| 158.2#67 | RUSH/G | 179.1#39 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 33.9%#117 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| 0.15#83 | OFF PPA | 0.22#33 |
| 0.11#52 | DEF PPA | 0.06#22 |
| 39.9%#100 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0%#27 |
| 42.3%#80 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.5%#33 |
| 24.8% | RET PROD | 78.5% |
| 1.37#11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| 1.7 | SP+ | 14.9 |
| 2.1#57 | FPI | 13.1#20 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FBC Mortgage StadiumLocationOrlando, FL
Capacity44,206
SurfaceGrass
Opened2007
Elevation69 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
