Clemson @ Florida State, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDFSU radioSeminole Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Florida State opens a 1.5-point underdog. Our model gives Florida State a 47% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 21–17 · Clemson won the last meeting, 24–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge FSU
Market lean CLEM
Model projection CLEM
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Clemson @ Florida State
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, CLEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADFSU +1.5CLEM −1.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINEFSU −108CLEM −112
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Florida State vs Clemson Stats ComparisonFSU vs Clemson Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida StateFSU | ClemsonCLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 33#22 | PPG | 27.2#72 |
| 22#43 | PA/G | 20.5#30 |
| 472.2#6 | YDS/G | 392.2#66 |
| 253.4#40 | PASS/G | 267.8#24 |
| 218.8#11 | RUSH/G | 124.5#106 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 50.6%#8 | 3RD DOWN | 34.3%#114 |
| 0.30#14 | OFF PPA | 0.18#58 |
| 0.15#63 | DEF PPA | 0.10#38 |
| 47.2%#17 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.7%#64 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.3%#20 |
| 40.1% | RET PROD | 41.4% |
| 1.36#16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#82 |
| 9.1 | SP+ | 13.1 |
| 9.3#28 | FPI | 13.4#19 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doak Campbell StadiumLocationTallahassee, FL
Capacity67,277
SurfaceGrass
Opened1950
Elevation64 ft
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