Illinois State @ North Dakota, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·StreamingESPN+
ILST radioXfinity Mobile Redbird Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois State a 33% chance.
SeriesNorth Dakota leads 2–1 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 35–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UND
Home-field edge UND
Model projection UND
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois State @ North Dakota
Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, UND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois State vs North Dakota Stats ComparisonILST vs North Dakota Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Illinois StateILST | North DakotaUND | |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5 | PPG | 52 |
| 5 | PA/G | 23.5 |
| 248 | YDS/G | 496.5 |
| 128.5 | PASS/G | 265 |
| 119.5 | RUSH/G | 231.5 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8 |
| 68.8% | 3RD DOWN | 60.0% |
| 0.34 | OFF PPA | 0.33 |
| 47.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 55.0% |
| 35.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 32.5% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| 0.04 | DEF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Alerus CenterLocationGrand Forks, ND
Capacity12,283
SurfaceTurf
Opened2001
Elevation837 ft
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