South Alabama @ Marshall, Week 8 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Marshall a 74% chance.
SeriesSouth Alabama leads 1–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 28–0 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, USA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Marshall vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonMarshall vs USA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MarshallMRSH | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 26.5#76 |
| 30.2#106 | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| 406.1#47 | YDS/G | 382.2#75 |
| 207.9#91 | PASS/G | 181.1#114 |
| 198.2#21 | RUSH/G | 201.2#18 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 35.2%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 42.6%#39 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.16#72 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.16#73 | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 38.6%#35 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| 98.8% | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| 1.13#130 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| -8.2 | SP+ | -14.6 |
| -8.8#104 | FPI | -10.5#112 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
