South Alabama @ Marshall, Week 8 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Alabama a 26% chance.
SeriesSouth Alabama leads 1–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 28–0 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, MRSH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Alabama vs Marshall Stats ComparisonUSA vs Marshall Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South AlabamaUSA | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5#76 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 382.2#75 | YDS/G | 406.1#47 |
| 181.1#114 | PASS/G | 207.9#91 |
| 201.2#18 | RUSH/G | 198.2#21 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 35.2%#106 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.24#120 | DEF PPA | 0.16#73 |
| 41.8%#76 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 43.3%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.6%#35 |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#130 |
| -14.6 | SP+ | -8.2 |
| -10.5#112 | FPI | -8.8#104 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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