Abilene Christian @ Texas Tech, Week 1 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Tech opens a 42.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas Tech a 99% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 3–0 · Texas Tech won the last meeting, 52–51 · 2024
99% One-score game
4% Cover TTU −42.5
36%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, ACU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Texas Tech99%- Abilene Christian2%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $23,431 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Abilene Christian vs Texas Tech Stats ComparisonACU vs Texas Tech Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Abilene ChristianACU | Texas TechTTU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 39.4#7 |
| – | PA/G | 11.8#3 |
| – | YDS/G | 461.6#10 |
| – | PASS/G | 277.6#17 |
| – | RUSH/G | 184#31 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 49.3%#12 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.25#23 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.07#2 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#50 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 31.5%#3 |
| – | RET PROD | 53.4% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| – | SP+ | 21.8 |
| – | FPI | 20.0#10 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
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