Around CFB · Week 1
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All scores Lafayette @ UConn, Week 1 · 2026
LAF@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·LafayetteLAF–
UConnCONN0–0
StreamingUConn+
CONN radioUConn Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
UConn opens a 19.5-point favorite. Our model gives UConn a 91% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Lafayette
18
CONN win
91% One-score game
17% Cover CONN −19.5
55%
91% One-score game
17% Cover CONN −19.5
55%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge CONN
Market lean CONN
Model projection CONN
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Lafayette @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, LAF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
UConn91%- Lafayette10%
CFB Vibes ModelCONN 91%MarketCONN 91%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $5,144 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCONN −19.5LAF +19.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINECONN −1350LAF +800
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
UConn vs Lafayette Stats ComparisonUConn vs Lafayette Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UConnCONN | LafayetteLAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3#15 | PPG | – |
| 27#81 | PA/G | – |
| 448.5#20 | YDS/G | – |
| 283.8#12 | PASS/G | – |
| 164.7#60 | RUSH/G | – |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 40.6%#59 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +15#3 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.31#9 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.21#108 | DEF PPA | – |
| 45.9%#28 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 2.3% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.34#21 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -11.9 | SP+ | – |
| -11.2#114 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
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