Around CFB · Week 1
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All scores Idaho State @ Utah State, Week 1 · 2026
IDST@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Idaho StateIDST–
Utah StateUSU0–0·PAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Utah State opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Utah State a 80% chance.
SeriesUtah State leads 15–2 · Utah State won the last meeting, 78–28 · 2023
What's driving the model
Home-field edge USU
Market lean USU
Model projection USU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Idaho State @ Utah State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, IDST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADIDST +13.5USU −13.5
TOTALOver 62.5Under 62.5
MONEYLINEIDST +400USU −535
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Idaho State vs Utah State Stats ComparisonIdaho State vs Utah State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Idaho StateIDST | Utah StateUSU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| – | PA/G | 28.7#90 |
| – | YDS/G | 409.8#40 |
| – | PASS/G | 246.9#48 |
| – | RUSH/G | 162.9#62 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 34.5%#111 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.20#41 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.20#101 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 41.1%#83 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 42.7%#90 |
| – | RET PROD | 65.2% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35#17 |
| – | SP+ | -7.9 |
| – | FPI | -6.7#92 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Maverik StadiumLocationLogan, UT
Capacity25,513
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation4,685 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
