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Youngstown State @ Kentucky, Week 1 · 2026

YSU@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
Youngstown StateYSU
StreamingSECN+

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Kentucky opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Kentucky a 93% chance.

SeriesKentucky leads 1–0 · Kentucky won the last meeting, 31–0 · 2022

WIN PROBABILITY
UK 93% YSU 7%
PROJECTED FINAL
Youngstown State
20
UK win
93%
One-score game
15%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UK
Market lean UK
Model projection UK
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Youngstown State @ Kentucky

Your sims:Sims: UK 0, YSU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
Youngstown StateYoungstown State2025: 0–2
Lat North Dakota State38–30Lat Michigan State41–24
SPREADYSU +23.5UK −23.5
TOTALOver 62.5Under 62.5
MONEYLINEYSU +1500UK −3600

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Youngstown State vs Kentucky Stats ComparisonYSU vs Kentucky Stats Comparison

2025 stats
Youngstown StateYSUKentuckyUK
PPG23#101
PA/G26.4#75
YDS/G341.2#105
3RD DOWN40.3%#62

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Kroger Field
LocationLexington, KY
Capacity61,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation1,009 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 94% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win