San Diego State @ Colorado State, Week 8 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Colorado State a 31% chance.
SeriesSan Diego State leads 23–15 · San Diego State won the last meeting, 45–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SDSU
Home-field edge CSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San Diego State @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: CSU 0, SDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Colorado State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonCSU vs SDSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Colorado StateCSU | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5#124 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 30.8#113 | PA/G | 15.4#6 |
| 324.2#117 | YDS/G | 356#91 |
| 215.9#86 | PASS/G | 157.9#125 |
| 108.2#120 | RUSH/G | 198.9#19 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 32.9%#122 | 3RD DOWN | 31.4%#130 |
| 0.12#94 | OFF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 39.8%#103 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 44.9%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#9 |
| 39.6% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.21#86 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.24#118 | DEF PPA | -0.02#3 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | 0.7 |
| -12.4#118 | FPI | 1.4#59 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
FAN NEWS
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