Indiana State @ Illinois State, Week 8 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·StreamingESPN+
ILST radioXfinity Mobile Redbird Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois State a 82% chance.
SeriesIllinois State leads 17–5 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 52–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge ILST
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Indiana State @ Illinois State
Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois State vs Indiana State Stats ComparisonILST vs INST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Illinois StateILST | Indiana StateINST | |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5 | PPG | 20 |
| 5 | PA/G | 33.5 |
| 248 | YDS/G | 315 |
| 128.5 | PASS/G | 253 |
| 119.5 | RUSH/G | 62 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8 |
| 68.8% | 3RD DOWN | 44.4% |
| 0.34 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 0.04 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 47.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 30.6% |
| 35.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 2.00 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock StadiumLocationNormal, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation797 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Illinois State?
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