Murray State @ Illinois State, Week 9 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 9 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Illinois State a 88% chance.

SeriesIllinois State leads 7–0 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 46–32 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
ILST 88% MUR 12%
PROJECTED FINAL
ILST win
88%
One-score game
20%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge ILST
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Murray State @ Illinois State

Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, MUR 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Illinois State vs Murray State Stats ComparisonILST vs Murray State Stats Comparison

2026 stats
Illinois StateILSTMurray StateMUR
58.5PPG14
5PA/G33
248YDS/G305
68.8%3RD DOWN32.0%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Hancock Stadium
LocationNormal, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation797 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 9 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#14
VS#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 78% to win
#3VS
CFB VIBES MODELND 92% to win
@#4
@#5
56Games in Week 9Full schedule →