North Dakota State @ New Mexico, Week 8 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·UNM radioLobo Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota State @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, NDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico vs North Dakota State Stats ComparisonNew Mexico vs NDSU Stats Comparison
| New MexicoUNM | North Dakota StateNDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 33 |
| – | PA/G | 7 |
| – | YDS/G | 373 |
| – | PASS/G | 164 |
| – | RUSH/G | 209 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 35.7% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.32 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 30.9% |
| 58.2% | RET PROD | – |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| 0.0 | SP+ | -1.8 |
| -3.5#81 | FPI | -8.3#100 |
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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