Western Michigan @ Toledo, Week 8 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 8 · TBDWMU radioBronco Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 47% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 39–24 · Western Michigan won the last meeting, 14–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge TOL
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Michigan @ Toledo
Your sims:Sims: WMU 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Stats ComparisonWMU vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western MichiganWMU | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9#88 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 17.4#9 | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| 343#103 | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| 138.5#130 | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| 204.5#16 | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.10#106 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 42.3%#69 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| 37.5%#23 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| 99.7% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.05#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| 0.05#17 | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -4.0#82 | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Glass BowlLocationToledo, OH
Capacity26,038
SurfaceTurf
Opened1937
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
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