Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCCU radioChanticleer Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Coastal Carolina a 53% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 3–3 · Coastal Carolina won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARST
Home-field edge CCU
Model projection CCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina
Your sims:Sims: CCU 0, ARST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Louisiana Tech23–14Lvs James Madison59–10Lat South Carolina51–7Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)Arkansas State
Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Wvs Missouri State34–28Wat App State30–29Lvs Louisiana34–30Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State Stats ComparisonCCU vs ARST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Coastal CarolinaCCU | Arkansas StateARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2#108 | PPG | 25.2#87 |
| 33.1#125 | PA/G | 27.4#84 |
| 325.8#116 | YDS/G | 383.3#74 |
| 169.5#117 | PASS/G | 259.8#32 |
| 156.3#69 | RUSH/G | 123.5#108 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 33.0%#121 | 3RD DOWN | 39.3%#74 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.09#110 |
| 0.20#104 | DEF PPA | 0.19#97 |
| 36.1%#126 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9%#75 |
| 44.2%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.6%#97 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 30.0% |
| 1.26#54 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#121 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| -14.7 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| -12.1#117 | FPI | -9.2#107 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Brooks Stadium (SC)LocationConway, SC
Capacity21,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2003
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
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