Lamar @ Louisiana, Week 1 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Louisiana opens a 20.5-point favorite. Our model gives Louisiana a 90% chance.
SeriesLouisiana leads 9–4 · Louisiana won the last meeting, 40–0 · 2012
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: UL 0, LAM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Louisiana2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
- Louisiana92%
- Lamar9%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $5,791 traded · as of Sep 1, 7:21 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Lamar vs Louisiana Stats ComparisonLamar vs Louisiana Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LamarLAM | LouisianaUL | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 26#80 |
| – | PA/G | 29.2#96 |
| – | YDS/G | 344.1#101 |
| – | PASS/G | 161.2#123 |
| – | RUSH/G | 182.9#34 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −1#77 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.11#98 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.20#100 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 38.5%#114 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| – | RET PROD | 91.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#95 |
| – | SP+ | -10.6 |
| – | FPI | -8.3#99 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Cajun FieldFAN NEWS
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