North Carolina A&T at Georgia State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

SBC · Week 1

NCAT @ GASTFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM EDT LIB @ JMUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTESPNU ME @ APPSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT MRSH @ PSUSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTFS1 ALCN @ USMSat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM CDT NORF @ ODUSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM EDT SHSU @ TROYSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT SELA @ USASat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT CHSO @ GASOSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ULM @ MSSTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU NWST @ LTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDT LAM @ ULSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDT

All scores

NCAT@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM EDT7:00 PM EDT

North Carolina A&TNCAT–

Georgia StateGAST0–0·SBC

StreamingESPN+

GAST radioPanther Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Georgia State opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Georgia State a 96% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

GAST 96% NCAT 4%

PROJECTED FINAL

Georgia State

North Carolina A&T

GAST win
96% One-score game
9%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge GAST

Market lean GAST

Model projection GAST

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

North Carolina A&T @ Georgia St

Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, NCAT 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

North Carolina A&T2025: 0–1

Lat UCF68–7

Georgia State

2025: 1–11 (0–8 SBC)

Lat Old Dominion27–10 Lat Troy31–19 Lvs Marshall30–18

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADNCAT +28.5GAST −28.5

TOTALOver 63.5Under 63.5

MONEYLINENCAT +2000GAST −6500

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

North Carolina A&T vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonNCAT vs GAST Stats Comparison

2025 stats

North Carolina A&TNCAT		Georgia StateGAST
–	PPG	19.8#119
–	PA/G	37.8#133
–	YDS/G	378.2#77
–	PASS/G	254.4#38
–	RUSH/G	123.8#107
–	YDS/PLAY	5.4#92
–	3RD DOWN	38.6%#83
–	TO MARGIN	−11#127
–	OFF PPA	0.13#91
–	DEF PPA	0.28#133
–	OFF SUCCESS	40.4%#95
–	DEF SUCCESS	46.2%#125
–	RET PROD	46.5%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.25#61
–	SP+	-29.3
–	FPI	-15.2#127

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Center Parc Stadium

LocationAtlanta, GA

Capacity25,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened2017

Elevation942 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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