Maine at App State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

SBC · Week 1

NCAT @ GASTFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM EDT LIB @ JMUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTESPNU ME @ APPSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT MRSH @ PSUSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTFS1 ALCN @ USMSat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM CDT NORF @ ODUSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM EDT SHSU @ TROYSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT SELA @ USASat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT CHSO @ GASOSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ULM @ MSSTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU NWST @ LTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDT LAM @ ULSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDT

All scores

ME@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT3:30 PM EDT

MaineME–

App StateAPP0–0·SBC

StreamingESPN+

APP radioApp State Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

App State opens a 18.5-point favorite. Our model gives App State a 87% chance.

SeriesMaine leads 1–0 · Maine won the last meeting, 34–12 · 2011

WIN PROBABILITY

APP 87% ME 13%

PROJECTED FINAL

App State

Maine

APP win
87% One-score game
23%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge APP

Market lean APP

Model projection APP

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Maine @ App State

Your sims:Sims: APP 0, ME 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Maine2025: 0–2

Lat Georgia Southern45–17 Lat Liberty28–7

App State

2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)

Lvs Georgia Southern29–10 Lvs Arkansas State30–29 Wvs Marshall26–24

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADME +18.5APP −18.5

TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5

MONEYLINEME +700APP −1100

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Maine vs App State Stats ComparisonMaine vs App State Stats Comparison

2025 stats

MaineME		App StateAPP
–	PPG	24.2#91
–	PA/G	29.8#101
–	YDS/G	384.9#71
–	PASS/G	256.5#34
–	RUSH/G	128.4#102
–	YDS/PLAY	5.5#81
–	3RD DOWN	32.8%#123
–	TO MARGIN	−3#86
–	OFF PPA	0.10#107
–	DEF PPA	0.18#86
–	OFF SUCCESS	40.9%#86
–	DEF SUCCESS	44.8%#115
–	RET PROD	37.9%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.19#104
–	SP+	-12.7
–	FPI	-9.8#109

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Kidd Brewer Stadium

LocationBoone, NC

Capacity30,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1962

Elevation3,252 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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