Marshall @ Penn State, Week 1 · 2026
@#18
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·MarshallMRSH0–0·SBC
Penn StatePSU0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Penn State opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Penn State a 93% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 2–0 · Penn State won the last meeting, 65–0 · 1930
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) PSU
Home-field edge PSU
Market lean PSU
Model projection PSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Marshall @ Penn State
Your sims:Sims: PSU 0, MRSH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMRSH +23.5PSU −23.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINEMRSH +1400PSU −3200
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Marshall vs Penn State Stats ComparisonMarshall vs Penn State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MarshallMRSH | Penn StatePSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 31#34 |
| 30.2#106 | PA/G | 20.5#30 |
| 406.1#47 | YDS/G | 362#86 |
| 207.9#91 | PASS/G | 187.6#105 |
| 198.2#21 | RUSH/G | 174.4#50 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 35.2%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 43.6%#32 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.16#72 | OFF PPA | 0.23#30 |
| 0.16#73 | DEF PPA | 0.10#45 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.2%#25 |
| 38.6%#35 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.9%#59 |
| 98.8% | RET PROD | 7.6% |
| 1.13#130 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#101 |
| -8.2 | SP+ | 16.2 |
| -8.8#104 | FPI | 13.7#17 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Beaver StadiumLocationUniversity Park, PA
Capacity106,572
SurfaceGrass
Opened1960
Elevation1,162 ft
FAN NEWS
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