SE Louisiana at South Alabama: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

SBC · Week 1

NCAT @ GASTFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM EDT LIB @ JMUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTESPNU ME @ APPSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT MRSH @ PSUSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTFS1 ALCN @ USMSat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM CDT NORF @ ODUSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM EDT SHSU @ TROYSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT SELA @ USASat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT CHSO @ GASOSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ULM @ MSSTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU NWST @ LTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDT LAM @ ULSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDT

All scores

SELA@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT6:00 PM CDT

SE LouisianaSELA–

South AlabamaUSA0–0·SBC

StreamingESPN+

USA radioJaguar Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

South Alabama opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives South Alabama a 78% chance.

SeriesSouth Alabama leads 1–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 35–17 · 2023

WIN PROBABILITY

USA 78% SELA 22%

PROJECTED FINAL

South Alabama

SE Louisiana

USA win
78% One-score game
30%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge USA

Market lean USA

Model projection USA

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

SE Louisiana @ South Alabama

Your sims:Sims: USA 0, SELA 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

SE Louisiana2025: 0–2

Lat LSU56–10 Lat Louisiana Tech24–0

South Alabama

2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)

Lat Texas State49–26 Wvs Southern Miss42–35 Wat UL Monroe26–14

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADSELA +12.5USA −12.5

TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5

MONEYLINESELA +440USA −600

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

SE Louisiana vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonSE Louisiana vs USA Stats Comparison

2025 stats

SE LouisianaSELA		South AlabamaUSA
–	PPG	26.5#76
–	PA/G	30.4#110
–	YDS/G	382.2#75
–	PASS/G	181.1#114
–	RUSH/G	201.2#18
–	YDS/PLAY	5.5#81
–	3RD DOWN	42.6%#39
–	TO MARGIN	+3#46
–	OFF PPA	0.16#74
–	DEF PPA	0.24#120
–	OFF SUCCESS	41.8%#76
–	DEF SUCCESS	43.3%#94
–	RET PROD	78.6%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.20#98
–	SP+	-14.6
–	FPI	-10.5#112

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Hancock Whitney Stadium

LocationMobile, AL

Capacity25,450

SurfaceTurf

Opened2020

Elevation148 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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