Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Coastal Carolina opens a 21-point underdog. Our model gives Coastal Carolina a 6% chance.
SeriesWest Virginia leads 1–0 · West Virginia won the last meeting, 31–0 · 2010
6% One-score game
14% Cover WVU −21
57%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: CCU 0, WVU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)
West Virginia2025: 4–8 (2–7 B12)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $13,409 traded · as of Sep 2, 4:21 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:42 PM ETNot gambling advice
Coastal Carolina vs West Virginia Stats ComparisonCCU vs WVU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Coastal CarolinaCCU | West VirginiaWVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2#108 | PPG | 21.8#110 |
| 33.1#125 | PA/G | 30.8#113 |
| 325.8#116 | YDS/G | 349.6#96 |
| 169.5#117 | PASS/G | 188.9#103 |
| 156.3#69 | RUSH/G | 160.7#65 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 33.0%#121 | 3RD DOWN | 29.6%#134 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.07#116 |
| 0.20#104 | DEF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 36.1%#126 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.3%#119 |
| 44.2%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.9%#50 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 14.0% |
| 1.26#54 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#84 |
| -14.7 | SP+ | -1.3 |
| -12.1#117 | FPI | 0.2#66 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
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