Arizona State @ Texas A&M, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas A&M opens a 14.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas A&M a 84% chance.
SeriesTexas A&M leads 1–0 · Texas A&M won the last meeting, 38–17 · 2015
84% One-score game
25% Cover TA&M −14.5
55%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: TA&M 0, ASU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $52,629 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Arizona State vs Texas A&M Stats ComparisonASU vs Texas A&M Stats Comparison
| Arizona StateASU | Texas A&MTA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | PPG | 50 |
| 681 | YDS/G | 505 |
| 432 | PASS/G | 269 |
| 249 | RUSH/G | 236 |
| 9.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.68 | OFF PPA | 0.35 |
| 57.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 58.4% |
| 30.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 17.1% |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 72.8% |
| 1.61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.08 |
| 1572 | ELO | 1849 |
| 8.7 | SP+ | 23.9 |
| 7.5#36 | FPI | 21.2#10 |
| 7 | PA/G | 0 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| -0.05 | DEF PPA | -0.24 |
THE VENUE
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