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All scores Wake Forest @ Purdue, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Wake Forest opens a 3-point favorite. Our model gives Wake Forest a 59% chance.
SeriesPurdue leads 4–1 · Purdue won the last meeting, 16–10 · 2003
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
PUR win
41% One-score game
39% Cover WAKE −3
51%
41% One-score game
39% Cover WAKE −3
51%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) WAKE
Home-field edge PUR
Market lean WAKE
Model projection WAKE
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Wake Forest @ Purdue
Your sims:Sims: PUR 0, WAKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Wake Forest
Wvs Akron38–16
Purdue
Wvs Indiana State44–19
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelWAKE 59%MarketWAKE 57%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $20,991 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADWAKE −3PUR +3
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINEWAKE −148PUR +124
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 9:06 PM ETNot gambling advice
Wake Forest vs Purdue Stats ComparisonWake Forest vs Purdue Stats Comparison
| Wake ForestWAKE | PurduePUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | PPG | 44 |
| 16 | PA/G | 19 |
| 559 | YDS/G | 523 |
| 356 | PASS/G | 346 |
| 203 | RUSH/G | 177 |
| 8.2 | YDS/PLAY | 7.1 |
| 46.7% | 3RD DOWN | 54.5% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.48 | OFF PPA | 0.37 |
| 0.02 | DEF PPA | 0.01 |
| 42.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 50.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 27.1% |
| 14.2% | RET PROD | 47.5% |
| 1.53 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18 |
| 1516 | ELO | 1318 |
| 1.6 | SP+ | 1.2 |
| 3.8#52 | FPI | -1.6#73 |
THE VENUE
Ross-Ade StadiumLocationWest Lafayette, IN
Capacity57,282
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation648 ft
FAN NEWS
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