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All scores Memphis @ Boise State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MemphisMEM2–0·AAC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Boise State opens a 8.5-point favorite. Our model gives Boise State a 74% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 1–0 · Memphis won the last meeting, 35–32 · 2023
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
BOIS win
74% One-score game
34% Cover BOIS −8.5
53%
74% One-score game
34% Cover BOIS −8.5
53%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Market lean BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Memphis @ Boise State
Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Boise State
Lat Oregon34–27
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelBOIS 74%MarketBOIS 75%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $20,441 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMEM +8.5BOIS −8.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEMEM +280BOIS −355
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Memphis vs Boise State Stats ComparisonMemphis vs Boise State Stats Comparison
| MemphisMEM | Boise StateBOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5 | PPG | 27 |
| 22.5 | PA/G | 34 |
| 470.5 | YDS/G | 274 |
| 205.5 | PASS/G | 181 |
| 265 | RUSH/G | 93 |
| 7.7 | YDS/PLAY | 4.2 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 26.7% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.39 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.28 |
| 48.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| 40.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.3% |
| 5.6% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.02 |
| 1566 | ELO | 1569 |
| 2.1 | SP+ | 5.2 |
| 2.1#61 | FPI | 7.8#34 |
THE VENUE
Albertsons StadiumLocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft
FAN NEWS
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