Utah State @ Washington, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Washington opens a 26.5-point favorite. Our model gives Washington a 97% chance.
SeriesWashington leads 2–0 · Washington won the last meeting, 31–17 · 2015
97% One-score game
8% Cover WASH −26.5
59%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: WASH 0, USU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $9,386 traded · as of Sep 9, 8:19 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Utah State vs Washington Stats ComparisonUtah State vs Washington Stats Comparison
| Utah StateUSU | WashingtonWASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | 24 |
| 29 | PA/G | 10 |
| 407 | YDS/G | 402 |
| 245 | PASS/G | 268 |
| 162 | RUSH/G | 134 |
| 4.6 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 60.0% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| 0.10 | OFF PPA | 0.08 |
| 42.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.9% |
| 35.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 31.0% |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | 54.4% |
| 1.20 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07 |
| 1376 | ELO | 1762 |
| −4 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | -0.03 |
| -11.5 | SP+ | 12.0 |
| -10.4#110 | FPI | 9.5#30 |
THE VENUE
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