Texas Tech @ Oregon State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Tech opens a 26.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas Tech a 96% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 2–0 · Texas Tech won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2025
4% One-score game
11% Cover TTU −26.5
52%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, TTU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $30,064 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Texas Tech vs Oregon State Stats ComparisonTexas Tech vs Oregon State Stats Comparison
| Texas TechTTU | Oregon StateORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 20 |
| 10 | PA/G | 33 |
| 471 | YDS/G | 402 |
| 298 | PASS/G | 376 |
| 173 | RUSH/G | 26 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 41.7% | 3RD DOWN | 26.7% |
| 0.28 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 50.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5% |
| 27.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 53.4% | RET PROD | 57.9% |
| 1.05 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34 |
| 1870 | ELO | 1260 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| -0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.31 |
| 18.9 | SP+ | -6.8 |
| 18.4#12 | FPI | -7.2#98 |
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