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All scores Jacksonville State @ Ohio, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ohio a 56% chance.
SeriesOhio leads 1–0 · Ohio won the last meeting, 30–27 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
OHIO win
56% One-score game
39% Cover OHIO −2.5
50%
56% One-score game
39% Cover OHIO −2.5
50%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) JXST
Home-field edge OHIO
Market lean OHIO
Model projection OHIO
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Jacksonville State @ Ohio
Your sims:Sims: OHIO 0, JXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Wvs Eastern Kentucky49–7Lat North Dakota State33–7
Ohio
Lat Nebraska49–21
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOHIO 56%MarketOHIO 56%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $27,044 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADJXST +2.5OHIO −2.5
TOTALOver 50.5Under 50.5
MONEYLINEJXST +120OHIO −142
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Jacksonville State vs Ohio Stats ComparisonJXST vs Ohio Stats Comparison
| Jacksonville StateJXST | OhioOHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | PPG | 21 |
| 20 | PA/G | 49 |
| 348 | YDS/G | 303 |
| 218.5 | PASS/G | 164 |
| 129.5 | RUSH/G | 139 |
| 6.1 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 52.4% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 0.05 | DEF PPA | 0.49 |
| 46.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.3% |
| 40.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 51.4% |
| 49.5% | RET PROD | 62.5% |
| 1.28 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33 |
| 1432 | ELO | 1318 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -7.0 | SP+ | -16.4 |
| -10.0#108 | FPI | -9.9#107 |
THE VENUE
Peden StadiumLocationAthens, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation637 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
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