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All scores Rice @ Notre Dame, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Notre DameND1–0
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Notre Dame opens a 44.5-point favorite. Our model gives Notre Dame a 99% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 5–0 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 48–17 · 2014
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ND
Home-field edge ND
Market lean ND
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Rice @ Notre Dame
Your sims:Sims: ND 0, RICE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Rice
Wvs Houston Christian31–3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelND 99%MarketND 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $137,769 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:04 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADRICE +44.5ND −44.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 9:06 PM ETNot gambling advice
Rice vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonRice vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison
| RiceRICE | Notre DameND | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | PPG | 41 |
| 3 | PA/G | 13 |
| 493 | YDS/G | 350 |
| 28 | PASS/G | 239 |
| 465 | RUSH/G | 111 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7 |
| 64.7% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.23 | OFF PPA | 0.35 |
| 53.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0% |
| 30.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.7% |
| 39.4% | RET PROD | 51.2% |
| 0.94 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11 |
| 1196 | ELO | 2021 |
| -0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.07 |
| -10.4 | SP+ | 26.8 |
| -12.1#116 | FPI | 27.0#3 |
THE VENUE
Notre Dame StadiumLocationNotre Dame, IN
Capacity80,795
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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