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The Read
Tulane opens a 9.5-point favorite. Our model gives Tulane a 71% chance.
SeriesTulane leads 3–1 · Tulane won the last meeting, 33–31 · 2025
Your sims:Sims: TULN 0, USA 0


Market-implied win probability


Market 5 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $1,959 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
| South AlabamaUSA | TulaneTULN | |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | PPG | 3 |
| 14 | PA/G | 17 |
| 395 | YDS/G | 258 |
| 154 | PASS/G | 204 |
| 241 | RUSH/G | 54 |
| 4.6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6 |
| 41.2% | 3RD DOWN | 21.4% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.00 |
| 42.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 30.9% |
| 40.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 29.5% |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 21.0% |
| 1.11 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.80 |
| 1390 | ELO | 1529 |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| 0.17 | DEF PPA | -0.05 |
| -11.4 | SP+ | -7.4 |
| -9.6#106 | FPI | -0.5#66 |
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