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All scores Ohio State @ Texas, Week 2 · 2026
#1
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Ohio StateOSU1–0·B1G
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas a 54% chance.
SeriesOhio State leads 3–2 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 14–7 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
TEX win
54% One-score game
40% Cover TEX −1.5
49%
54% One-score game
40% Cover TEX −1.5
49%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OSU
Home-field edge TEX
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Ohio State @ Texas
Your sims:Sims: TEX 0, OSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Ohio State
Wvs Ball State56–3
Texas
Wvs Texas State59–7
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelTEX 54%MarketTEX 54%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $593,055 traded · as of Sep 9, 10:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOSU +1.5TEX −1.5
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINEOSU −102TEX −118
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 9:06 PM ETNot gambling advice
Ohio State vs Texas Stats ComparisonOhio State vs Texas Stats Comparison
| Ohio StateOSU | TexasTEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | PPG | 59 |
| 3 | PA/G | 7 |
| 671 | YDS/G | 516 |
| 434 | PASS/G | 360 |
| 237 | RUSH/G | 156 |
| 9.3 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 45.5% | 3RD DOWN | 73.3% |
| 0.67 | OFF PPA | 0.46 |
| 56.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 21.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1% |
| 68.3% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.45 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.58 |
| 1986 | ELO | 1913 |
| 30.0 | SP+ | 25.4 |
| 30.0#2 | FPI | 30.3#1 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| -0.24 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
THE VENUE
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumLocationAustin, TX
Capacity100,119
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation526 ft
FAN NEWS
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