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Merrimack @ Maine, Week 2 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Merrimack a 32% chance.

SeriesMaine leads 3–0 · Maine won the last meeting, 20–13 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
ME 68% MRMK 32%
PROJECTED FINAL
MRMK win
32%
One-score game
33%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) ME
Home-field edge ME
Model projection ME
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Merrimack @ Maine

Your sims:Sims: MRMK 0, ME 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Maine79%
  2. Merrimack21%
CFB Vibes ModelME 68%MarketME 79%

Market 11 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $10 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Merrimack vs Maine Stats ComparisonMerrimack vs Maine Stats Comparison

2026 stats
MerrimackMRMKMaineME
7PPG12
38PA/G36.5
287YDS/G289.5
26.3%3RD DOWN37.9%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Alfond Stadium
LocationOrono, ME
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation116 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
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