Around CFB · Week 2
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All scores California @ Syracuse, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CaliforniaCAL0–1·ACC
SyracuseSYR1–0·ACC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Syracuse opens a 3.5-point favorite. Our model gives Syracuse a 60% chance.
SeriesSyracuse leads 2–1 · Syracuse won the last meeting, 33–25 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SYR win
60% One-score game
39% Cover SYR −3.5
52%
60% One-score game
39% Cover SYR −3.5
52%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) CAL
Home-field edge SYR
Market lean SYR
Model projection SYR
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
California @ Syracuse
Your sims:Sims: SYR 0, CAL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3California
Lvs UCLA45–24
Syracuse
Wvs New Hampshire66–3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelSYR 60%MarketSYR 61%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $27,310 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCAL +3.5SYR −3.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINECAL +140SYR −166
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
California vs Syracuse Stats ComparisonCalifornia vs Syracuse Stats Comparison
| CaliforniaCAL | SyracuseSYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | PPG | 66 |
| 45 | PA/G | 3 |
| 410 | YDS/G | 513 |
| 291 | PASS/G | 275 |
| 119 | RUSH/G | 238 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7 |
| 52.4% | 3RD DOWN | 66.7% |
| 0.13 | OFF PPA | 0.35 |
| 33.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 52.6% |
| 56.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 27.0% |
| 58.3% | RET PROD | 35.0% |
| 1.48 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| 1349 | ELO | 1288 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | -0.26 |
| -3.4 | SP+ | 2.7 |
| -3.0#78 | FPI | 3.5#54 |
THE VENUE
JMA Wireless DomeLocationSyracuse, NY
Capacity49,057
SurfaceTurf
Opened1980
Elevation534 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
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