Penn State @ Temple, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Penn State opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Penn State a 95% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 40–4–1 · Penn State won the last meeting, 34–27 · 2016
5% One-score game
12% Cover PSU −23.5
55%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: TEM 0, PSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $43,412 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Penn State vs Temple Stats ComparisonPenn State vs Temple Stats Comparison
| Penn StatePSU | TempleTEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | PPG | 38 |
| 487 | YDS/G | 369 |
| 324 | PASS/G | 142 |
| 163 | RUSH/G | 227 |
| 6.8 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 25.0% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.42 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| 51.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0% |
| 29.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.7% |
| 7.6% | RET PROD | 37.0% |
| 1.29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 1891 | ELO | 1312 |
| 0 | PA/G | 14 |
| -0.17 | DEF PPA | -0.02 |
| 19.8 | SP+ | -4.9 |
| 17.2#14 | FPI | -7.3#99 |
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