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All scores Tulsa @ Sam Houston, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Tulsa opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Tulsa a 81% chance.
SeriesTulsa leads 1–0 · Tulsa won the last meeting, 56–3 · 2009
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TLSA
Home-field edge SHSU
Market lean TLSA
Model projection TLSA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Tulsa @ Sam Houston
Your sims:Sims: SHSU 0, TLSA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Tulsa
Wvs Oklahoma State24–10
Sam Houston
Lat Troy24–21
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelTLSA 81%MarketTLSA 83%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $2,166 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTLSA −14SHSU +14
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINETLSA −600SHSU +440
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Tulsa vs Sam Houston Stats ComparisonTulsa vs Sam Houston Stats Comparison
| TulsaTLSA | Sam HoustonSHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | PPG | 21 |
| 10 | PA/G | 24 |
| 361 | YDS/G | 373 |
| 227 | PASS/G | 335 |
| 134 | RUSH/G | 38 |
| 6.3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 9.1% | 3RD DOWN | 42.9% |
| 0.19 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| 41.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.1% |
| 36.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| 41.3% | RET PROD | 57.7% |
| 1.08 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21 |
| 1268 | ELO | 1164 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -0.07 | DEF PPA | 0.16 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -21.5 |
| -3.4#81 | FPI | -16.6#128 |
THE VENUE
Elliott T. Bowers StadiumLocationHuntsville, TX
Capacity14,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1986
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
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