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All scores Oregon @ Oklahoma State, Week 2 · 2026
#6
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oregon opens a 22.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 94% chance.
SeriesOregon leads 2–0 · Oregon won the last meeting, 69–3 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
OKST win
6% One-score game
15% Cover ORE −22.5
53%
6% One-score game
15% Cover ORE −22.5
53%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ORE
Home-field edge OKST
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Oregon @ Oklahoma State
Your sims:Sims: OKST 0, ORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon
Wvs Boise State34–27
Oklahoma State
Lat Tulsa24–10
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelORE 94%MarketORE 94%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $100,923 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADORE −22.5OKST +22.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINEORE −1800OKST +1000
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Oregon vs Oklahoma State Stats ComparisonOregon vs OKST Stats Comparison
| OregonORE | Oklahoma StateOKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | PPG | 10 |
| 27 | PA/G | 24 |
| 497 | YDS/G | 368 |
| 378 | PASS/G | 241 |
| 119 | RUSH/G | 127 |
| 7.9 | YDS/PLAY | 4.3 |
| 33.3% | 3RD DOWN | 31.2% |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| 45.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.4% |
| 35.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4% |
| 1.51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.03 |
| 1873 | ELO | 1212 |
| 23.9 | SP+ | 1.1 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| 0.28 | OFF PPA | -0.07 |
| 75.3% | RET PROD | 0.0% |
| 22.7#8 | FPI | -1.6#72 |
THE VENUE
Boone Pickens StadiumLocationStillwater, OK
Capacity55,509
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation907 ft
FAN NEWS
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